Climate Science

Climate Prediction

A course for advanced learners to refine judgment in projecting future climate under uncertainty, focusing on system limits, nonlinearities, and compounding risks.

Goal:

Learn how future climate is projected.

3Lessons

6Micro-lessons

AdvancedDifficulty

Lesson 1

Limits of Climate Models

Explore where climate models fail and how to judge their reliability.

Start2 Micro-lessons

Micro lesson 1

Overfitting to Recent Data

Micro lesson 2

Ignoring Model Divergence

Lesson 2

Nonlinear Climate Responses

Examine how small changes can lead to unexpected climate shifts.

Start2 Micro-lessons

Micro lesson 1

Threshold Effects Misjudged

Micro lesson 2

Assuming Linear Recovery

Lesson 3

Compounding Risks and Feedbacks

Understand how risks interact and amplify over time in climate systems.

Start2 Micro-lessons

Micro lesson 1

Underestimating Feedback Loops

Micro lesson 2

Premature Intervention Risks