Lesson 1
Ambiguity in Weather Data
Navigating judgment when weather inputs are unreliable or conflicting.
Start2 Micro-lessons
Micro lesson 1
Conflicting Forecasts Before a StormMicro lesson 2
Delayed Weather Data and Hasty AdjustmentsLesson 2
System Limits and Overfitting
Recognizing when model complexity creates more risk than value.
Start2 Micro-lessons
Micro lesson 1
Adding Complexity to Fix Short-Term ErrorsMicro lesson 2
Ignoring System Constraints Under PressureLesson 3
Feedback Loops and Compounding Errors
Judging when to intervene or wait as errors amplify over time.
Start2 Micro-lessons
Micro lesson 1
Cascading Errors from Early MisjudgmentMicro lesson 2
When Waiting Is Less Harmful Than Acting