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Critical Thinking

Scenario Thinking

Advanced mastery of anticipating complex futures, focusing on judgment and restraint in ambiguous situations.
Goal:
Learn how to anticipate possible futures.
3Lessons
6Micro-lessons
AdvancedDifficulty
Lesson 1

Ambiguity and Consequence

How ambiguity distorts judgment and creates hidden costs.
Start2 Micro-lessons

Micro lesson 1
When Clarity Feels Urgent
Micro lesson 2
The Cost of Early Commitment
Lesson 2

Power and Boundary Erosion

How power dynamics and boundary erosion complicate scenario thinking.
Start2 Micro-lessons

Micro lesson 1
Boundary Drift Under Pressure
Micro lesson 2
Rationalizing Harm for Stability
Lesson 3

Delayed Feedback and Compounding Error

How delayed feedback and compounding errors undermine scenario judgment.
Start2 Micro-lessons

Micro lesson 1
Missing the Slow Feedback
Micro lesson 2
Compounding Small Errors